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Kontrollerades senast: 2020-07-12 19:01:39

Machine betting

Automatic bot betting with datadriven algorithms

Summing up 2018 (and how about 2019?)

2019-01-04 23:13
Från TobiasB
I now close the books for a fantastic year in many senses! 2018 was the year when my profit from betting was bigger than ever, I started a new and really funny job leading an analyst function at an insurance company and above all: a nice family year with everybody healthy and happy. We went Read More

Results by 2018Q3

2018-10-05 11:38
Från TobiasB
Hi, It is time to update my bot progress! Lets start with the first graph: It shows the accumulated profit/loss by week for the last three years. Just as before I had a great start in 2018, quite rapidly made 40000 SEK but then once again hit a bad quarter (second). After the summer performance Read More

Betting results of 2018Q1

2018-04-03 10:14
Från TobiasB
Hi! The first quarter has been a good quarter! I am happy to see that all my models are performing with a positive yield, and within or above my expectations. Let us start with the complete historic picture of my Betfair betting: So far 2018 has rendered 2.1 MSEK (205000 EURO) in turnover, to a Read More

English League One and League Two – Easy edge!

2018-01-15 20:47
Från TobiasB
The content of other football blogs the last couple of weeks have been dominated by different takes on English soccer. I decided to take a look at my own records to see how I have done on the English markets. I took a look at the years 2016 and 2017 (I know that my models Read More

Summing up 2017 and forecasting 2018

2018-01-07 22:19
Från TobiasB
Another year ends and it is time to sum up the efforts of my bot betting. This year has been a very bumpy ride, and includes both good and bad things. Let’s start with my forecast made in January 2017: The plan for 2017 is to keep the good models for Home and Away, and Read More

Read up!

2017-09-15 15:06
Från TobiasB
As described in previous post I went back to the drawing board and redesigned my models. To get some inspiration and motivation I bough a few books and read them carefully. I did not anticipate to get complete “+110% ROI MEGA DELUXE MODELS” but my hope was to get some inspiration which I could use Read More

Update of Results YTD

2017-09-12 13:55
Från TobiasB
The last months have been a real roller coaster ride! As mentioned in previous post my ROI started to decline in February/March, but I stayed with my models all the way into July. There I took the decision to accept that my models had lost their edge, and I went back to my analysis tools Read More

Edge gone to hell, or seasonality?

2017-05-31 22:08
Från TobiasB
It’s been some time since the last post, reason is that I had to put some time into my betting models… My problems started in march when my bank started to slowly decrease instead of increase AS SUPPOSED to. First I kept calm and let the bots run unchanged (AS SUPPOSED),  but the bad trend Read More

Betting results of 2017Q1

2017-04-05 08:44
Från TobiasB
Another quarter has passed and it is time to check how the models are performing. The result for the first quarter of 2017: I am happy to see that it is now my ninth quarter in a row with positive yield! This quarter my bot managed to get matched at least partially in 2316 unique Read More

Betfair Premium Charge simulation

2017-03-28 10:06
Från TobiasB
As my bot now has a track record of 2 years in profitability I decided to do some research in the topic of Premium Charge on Betfair. As of today I am not paying any kind of additional charges, but I guess that if my bot keeps moving money to my account I will sooner Read More